4/1/2021

Apr 01, 2021


4/1/2021
After closing limit higher yesterday, it was hard to imagine we would finish the week with a red leg on the chart for the old crop months.  Last night, May corn gapped higher on the open by 11 cents and May beans put up an 8-cent gap with both wasting little time trading to 20 higher.  It was a downhill slide after that with managed money and algorithm trading constantly repositioning.  Best not to put too much weight into today's trade action as we need the 3-day Easter break from trade to really understand what price levels we should be trading.  We get another big report next Friday, April 9, in the WASDE report.  If the USDA decides to keep carry-outs at the same numbers 3 months in a row, it will be tough to maintain our renewed bullish momentum.  Overshadowed today were the weekly export sales.  Corn, soybeans, and wheat were all within their expected ranges but mostly on the low end.  The biggest highlight was China purchasing one cargo of US soybeans plus one cargo switched from unknown to China.  Reminder, GPC will be closed tomorrow (4/2/21) for Good Friday.  The markets will also be closed but trade will resume Sunday evening at 7 p.m. and we can work a sell-order if you like.  Happy Easter.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.