4/1/2021

Apr 01, 2021


4/1/2021
After closing limit higher yesterday, it was hard to imagine we would finish the week with a red leg on the chart for the old crop months.  Last night, May corn gapped higher on the open by 11 cents and May beans put up an 8-cent gap with both wasting little time trading to 20 higher.  It was a downhill slide after that with managed money and algorithm trading constantly repositioning.  Best not to put too much weight into today's trade action as we need the 3-day Easter break from trade to really understand what price levels we should be trading.  We get another big report next Friday, April 9, in the WASDE report.  If the USDA decides to keep carry-outs at the same numbers 3 months in a row, it will be tough to maintain our renewed bullish momentum.  Overshadowed today were the weekly export sales.  Corn, soybeans, and wheat were all within their expected ranges but mostly on the low end.  The biggest highlight was China purchasing one cargo of US soybeans plus one cargo switched from unknown to China.  Reminder, GPC will be closed tomorrow (4/2/21) for Good Friday.  The markets will also be closed but trade will resume Sunday evening at 7 p.m. and we can work a sell-order if you like.  Happy Easter.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.