3/8/2021

Mar 08, 2021


3/8/2021
Trade was strongly higher from the start Sunday night, with new contract highs in beans after the May bean contract gapped 8 cents higher at the open following a weekend of heavy rains in the north and central regions of Brazil, creating further delays for an already slow harvest.  New crop corn also set a contract high of 485'6.  It's important to maintain a skeptical approach to crop news out of S. America but it seems as though the seriousness of the situation is increasing with the excessive moisture forcing some farmers to abandon unharvested fields and raising concerns over quality in beans that can be harvested.  There are some production estimates due out this week and it will be interesting to see how they analyze the situation.  Two week forecast models show plentiful precipitation falling over Brazil production areas.  Weekly export inspections were on target with 1,545k tonnes of corn inspected and 588k tonnes of beans inspected.  The USDA also revised the prior week's volume of inspected corn, increasing the number by 25% to 2,050k tonnes.  Corn and beans both finish the day higher but well off of their highs.  The March WASDE report is set to be released at 11am tomorrow morning.  Trade is expecting the USDA to trim down the carryouts for both corn and soybeans. 

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Sep 12, 2025
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Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.