3/6/2024

Mar 06, 2024


Corn and soybeans mostly drifted around on Wednesday. Corn ventured back and forth on either side of unchanged before firming up at the close to finish 1-2 cents higher. Soybeans spent the day trading from 4 higher to 9 lower until picking up a bid at the end of the session to close from unchanged-2 lower. Corn's ability to hold above the 10-day is certainly giving confidence to those who have entered long positions over the psat week. It appears the funds are satisfied with the size of their current short position, the only thing really holding back corn and soybeans has been this week's wheat trade which has felt some serious pressure from increases in global production forecasts and rumors of U.S. exports being canceled. While analysts are not expecting any fireworks from the U.S. crop balance sheets, they are looking for some sizeable cuts in Brazil production.

Corn is getting a little squeeze between the 10- and 20-day moving averages and appears comfortable to ride this price consolidation into Friday’s report. If we can get some sort of friendly twist, even a small one, we have potential for a small breakout higher and would present an opportunity for the market to sneak back up to the 50-day.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.