3/5/2021

Mar 05, 2021


3/5/2021
After trading firmly higher overnight, new crop corn set a new contract high for the second day in a row and beans close within earshot of their contract highs, leading the way to a strongly higher finish for the week.  Bullish support came in from several areas today with a flood of investor money buying in all commodities from grains, livestock, proteins, lumber, etc.  Funds flexed their muscle again, maintaining strong support of the 530 level on the May corn contract for the 4th day in a row before midday.  Despite growing concerns over ASF, Chinese corn futures were higher overnight, sending a demand signal to traders in the US.  Today was also the first opportunity for trade to begin positioning themselves for the WASDE report release on Tuesday.  Estimates were out late yesterday showing another trim to both the corn and bean carry outs and an increase to wheat stocks.  Corn was estimated at a 1.47 billion bushel carryout (1.50 in Feb report), soybean estimates averaged 117 million bushels (120 mln in Feb report), and wheat is seen to increase to an 839 million bushel carry out (836 mln in Feb report).  Week to week, corn was 2 lower and beans were 26 higher.  We maintain a long-term bullish bias and this is the ideal market to make sales when you want to and not when you have to.  Enjoy the beautiful weekend!
 

Read More News

Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
Well, the USDA gave us an absolute shocker this morning and raised the corn yield up to 181.2 bpa vs 178.5 in September.  The average trade guess was lower at 177.7 bpa.  The carryout is now up to 1.849 billion bushels vs 1.567 in September.  They raised Exports up 25 million, Feed and residual up 50 million and Ethanol up 50 million.  Corn is currently down 28 cents on this news.  This is an absolute shocker to the corn market. 
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected.