3/5/2021

Mar 05, 2021


3/5/2021
After trading firmly higher overnight, new crop corn set a new contract high for the second day in a row and beans close within earshot of their contract highs, leading the way to a strongly higher finish for the week.  Bullish support came in from several areas today with a flood of investor money buying in all commodities from grains, livestock, proteins, lumber, etc.  Funds flexed their muscle again, maintaining strong support of the 530 level on the May corn contract for the 4th day in a row before midday.  Despite growing concerns over ASF, Chinese corn futures were higher overnight, sending a demand signal to traders in the US.  Today was also the first opportunity for trade to begin positioning themselves for the WASDE report release on Tuesday.  Estimates were out late yesterday showing another trim to both the corn and bean carry outs and an increase to wheat stocks.  Corn was estimated at a 1.47 billion bushel carryout (1.50 in Feb report), soybean estimates averaged 117 million bushels (120 mln in Feb report), and wheat is seen to increase to an 839 million bushel carry out (836 mln in Feb report).  Week to week, corn was 2 lower and beans were 26 higher.  We maintain a long-term bullish bias and this is the ideal market to make sales when you want to and not when you have to.  Enjoy the beautiful weekend!
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.