3/30/2023

Mar 30, 2023


Two-sided trade with a lower finish for corn and a slightly mixed soybean close on Thursday. The market takes a bit of a breath one day ahead of a huge report day and settles near the middle of the 5-week ranges for corn and soybeans. The daily ranges were also much tighter than what we have become accustomed to, with the most volatile corn contracts trading 6 cents and soybeans staying within 12 cents. Weekly net export sales were within the trading ranges for corn and soybeans with 1.036 mln tonnes of corn and 348k tonnes of soybeans sold last week. As expected, China was the headline buyer of old-crop U.S. corn but there are currently no Chinese purchases of new-crop U.S. corn on the books. We had another sale announcement this morning, this time for 178,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to China during the 2022/23 marketing year. That's 11 out of the last 13 business days we've seen a flash sale of corn to China. It has not been record volume in that timespan but some of the steadiest buying we've seen since the impressive string of sales in 2020. Reminder: The reports drop at 11 a.m. tomorrow morning. Have sell orders working!

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.