3/27/2023

Mar 27, 2023


After a short period of lower trade overnight, corn and soybeans turned it around to begin the week strong. Soybeans enjoyed gains of 13-15 cents and corn picked up 5-9 cents on Monday. Corn shook off a poor showing in the weekly export inspections, missing low at 666k tonnes shipped. Soybeans were at the upper end of their expected range with 889k tonnes shipped. We also had another sale announcement at 8 a.m. this morning with the USDA confirming 112,800 metric tons of corn for delivery to unknown during the 2022/23 marketing year. Soybeans inspections to date for this marketing year are 54 million bushels ahead of the pace needed to meet the USDA target, up from 44 million last week. Corn shipments for the marketing year are 170 million bushels behind the pace needed to meet the USDA target, up from 152 million bushels last week. Trade will likely continue working towards neutral spots on the charts ahead of Friday's prospective plantings and quarterly grain stocks reports.

Textbook inverted head and shoulders pattern on May corn.
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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.