3/27/2023

Mar 27, 2023


After a short period of lower trade overnight, corn and soybeans turned it around to begin the week strong. Soybeans enjoyed gains of 13-15 cents and corn picked up 5-9 cents on Monday. Corn shook off a poor showing in the weekly export inspections, missing low at 666k tonnes shipped. Soybeans were at the upper end of their expected range with 889k tonnes shipped. We also had another sale announcement at 8 a.m. this morning with the USDA confirming 112,800 metric tons of corn for delivery to unknown during the 2022/23 marketing year. Soybeans inspections to date for this marketing year are 54 million bushels ahead of the pace needed to meet the USDA target, up from 44 million last week. Corn shipments for the marketing year are 170 million bushels behind the pace needed to meet the USDA target, up from 152 million bushels last week. Trade will likely continue working towards neutral spots on the charts ahead of Friday's prospective plantings and quarterly grain stocks reports.

Textbook inverted head and shoulders pattern on May corn.
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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.