3/25/2024

Mar 25, 2024


Soybeans pop higher to begin the week and corn bounced around from 2 higher to 2 lower in choppy trade.  With the planting intentions report coming out on Thursday, I expect this type of price action in corn to be consistent throughout the week and the $12 level to be like a magnet for soybeans.  The winter weather system we heard about for 5 days appears to be more of a dud than what was forecasted but it certainly has brought some much-welcomed moisture to our area.  We have minimal frost and that will allow the ground to take advantage of most of this snow.  Weekly export inspections were within their expected ranges and consistent with average volumes for this week of the calendar year.  Corn shipments were reported at 1.228 mln tonnes and soybean inspections totaled 769k tonnes.  Seasonal shipment paces for corn and soybeans also increased their surpluses over the USDA export volume targets.  Corn inspection pace is now at 37 million bushels (+3 mln from last week) ahead of target and soybean inspection pace is 14 million bushels (+6 mln from last week) ahead of target.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.