3/25/2024

Mar 25, 2024


Soybeans pop higher to begin the week and corn bounced around from 2 higher to 2 lower in choppy trade.  With the planting intentions report coming out on Thursday, I expect this type of price action in corn to be consistent throughout the week and the $12 level to be like a magnet for soybeans.  The winter weather system we heard about for 5 days appears to be more of a dud than what was forecasted but it certainly has brought some much-welcomed moisture to our area.  We have minimal frost and that will allow the ground to take advantage of most of this snow.  Weekly export inspections were within their expected ranges and consistent with average volumes for this week of the calendar year.  Corn shipments were reported at 1.228 mln tonnes and soybean inspections totaled 769k tonnes.  Seasonal shipment paces for corn and soybeans also increased their surpluses over the USDA export volume targets.  Corn inspection pace is now at 37 million bushels (+3 mln from last week) ahead of target and soybean inspection pace is 14 million bushels (+6 mln from last week) ahead of target.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.