3/25/2024

Mar 25, 2024


Soybeans pop higher to begin the week and corn bounced around from 2 higher to 2 lower in choppy trade.  With the planting intentions report coming out on Thursday, I expect this type of price action in corn to be consistent throughout the week and the $12 level to be like a magnet for soybeans.  The winter weather system we heard about for 5 days appears to be more of a dud than what was forecasted but it certainly has brought some much-welcomed moisture to our area.  We have minimal frost and that will allow the ground to take advantage of most of this snow.  Weekly export inspections were within their expected ranges and consistent with average volumes for this week of the calendar year.  Corn shipments were reported at 1.228 mln tonnes and soybean inspections totaled 769k tonnes.  Seasonal shipment paces for corn and soybeans also increased their surpluses over the USDA export volume targets.  Corn inspection pace is now at 37 million bushels (+3 mln from last week) ahead of target and soybean inspection pace is 14 million bushels (+6 mln from last week) ahead of target.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.