3/25/2021

Mar 25, 2021


3/25/2021
Trade was lower overnight and all through the day session.  We started off this morning with some supportive news with a flash sale of 110k tonnes of corn to Japan for the 2020/21 marketing year.  Weekly net export sales were confirmation on last week's announcements of big sales to China, with corn coming in at a whopping 4.482 million tonnes sold.  Sales to China accounted for over 86% of the total corn sales for the week ending 3/18/21.  Soybean sales were on the low end of expectations at 102k tonnes.  For the 2020/21 crop year, current sale bookings stand at 98% of the total for corn forecasted by the USDA and 99% for beans.  One would think the USDA would be backing themselves into a corner if they leave their carry outs and export numbers unchanged on the April WASDE report.  Overall, another day of range trade.  Simply speaking, the market was lower today because the spec funds sold.  Demand for both corn and soybeans remains steady with China continuing to buy large volumes of commodities despite reports of ASF outbreaks.  USDA announced yesterday that it will move forward with the CFAP programs (with some revisions) after President Biden brought them to halt.
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.