3/24/2021

Mar 24, 2021


3/24/2021
In what could be the lightest volume day this year so far, corn was mixed in both sessions and finishes 2 higher on the day in modest fashion.  Soybeans were higher for a large portion of the overnight hours and spent most of the day session between 2-4 cents higher before a push in the final hour of the day had beans trading above the 1430 level to finish 9 higher.  News is mostly still routine and the recent lighter volume we've been seeing recently makes it easier for the day-trade and speculator types to flow money in a favorable direction for them.  Brazil looks to be entering a timeframe that offers a good window of field work and Argentina is forecasted for significant rain to finish this week.  There is evidence of end-user coverage in soybean meal for poultry and dairy feed through early summer.  Weekly ethanol production was down 49k bbl/day last week, coming in at 922k bbl/day.  Ethanol stocks also rose 21.8 mln barrels vs the prior week at 21.3 mln.  Every day, more analysts are releasing their planting intentions estimates with most showing roughly 89 million acres for beans and either side of 94 million acres of corn.  If realized, this would be market-friendly for beans and bearish for corn.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.