3/22/2024

Mar 22, 2024


The markets opened flat on Thursday evening and soybeans just could not find a bid to end the week. Soybeans finished deep in the red with 14-18 cent losses but down only 6 cents on the week. Corn recovered slightly after trading 4 lower to finish 1-2 cents down on the day but still up 2 cents on the week. Mexico stuck its head up again and brought a fresh round of business. Mexico continues to be one of the bright spots in demand for U.S. corn. The USDA confirmed the sale of 263,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico this morning. 173,000 tonnes delivered in 2023/24 and 90,000 tonnes delivered in 2024/25. Mexico's corn production was below average last year and they have stepped up their purchases of U.S. corn to fill needs. Next week is sure to bring some volatility and opportunity with the acres intentions report. Have those sell orders working!

Some seasonal trend activity from Kevin Clausen at John Stewart and Associates...

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.