3/22/2024

Mar 22, 2024


The markets opened flat on Thursday evening and soybeans just could not find a bid to end the week. Soybeans finished deep in the red with 14-18 cent losses but down only 6 cents on the week. Corn recovered slightly after trading 4 lower to finish 1-2 cents down on the day but still up 2 cents on the week. Mexico stuck its head up again and brought a fresh round of business. Mexico continues to be one of the bright spots in demand for U.S. corn. The USDA confirmed the sale of 263,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico this morning. 173,000 tonnes delivered in 2023/24 and 90,000 tonnes delivered in 2024/25. Mexico's corn production was below average last year and they have stepped up their purchases of U.S. corn to fill needs. Next week is sure to bring some volatility and opportunity with the acres intentions report. Have those sell orders working!

Some seasonal trend activity from Kevin Clausen at John Stewart and Associates...

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.