3/22/2024

Mar 22, 2024


The markets opened flat on Thursday evening and soybeans just could not find a bid to end the week. Soybeans finished deep in the red with 14-18 cent losses but down only 6 cents on the week. Corn recovered slightly after trading 4 lower to finish 1-2 cents down on the day but still up 2 cents on the week. Mexico stuck its head up again and brought a fresh round of business. Mexico continues to be one of the bright spots in demand for U.S. corn. The USDA confirmed the sale of 263,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico this morning. 173,000 tonnes delivered in 2023/24 and 90,000 tonnes delivered in 2024/25. Mexico's corn production was below average last year and they have stepped up their purchases of U.S. corn to fill needs. Next week is sure to bring some volatility and opportunity with the acres intentions report. Have those sell orders working!

Some seasonal trend activity from Kevin Clausen at John Stewart and Associates...

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.