3/22/2022

Mar 22, 2022


3/22/2022
A much quieter day of trade than what we have become accustomed to seeing. Daily highs were set overnight corn and soybeans and we were well off of those marks going into the coffee break. There was no initial burst either direction when the market re-opened at 8:30am and we drifted sideways/lower throughout the session all the way to market close. The USDA made an export sale announcement this morning of 240,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown during the 2021/22 marketing year. One of yesterday's main headlines was the start of the Canadian-Pacific railway workers’ strike. After 24 hours, the issue was resolved and operations were restarted after an arbitration agreement was reached. Once again, May soybeans traded through 1700'0 and were unable to hold water above that line but did post another high close on the contract. It is starting to feel like 1700'0 old crop futures for soybeans is inevitable. News and trading headlines continue to be recycled and risk premiums compounded on the same rhetoric. Cash corn orders in the $7.20-7.25 range is a solid area to target. New crop corn in the range of $6.25-6.35 delivered and new crop beans at $15.00 off the combine are where we are looking right now. Recent rains across the Midwest have improved water levels on the Mississippi River and loaded barges are beginning to come in, allowing grain to be loaded out.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.