3/22/2022

Mar 22, 2022


3/22/2022
A much quieter day of trade than what we have become accustomed to seeing. Daily highs were set overnight corn and soybeans and we were well off of those marks going into the coffee break. There was no initial burst either direction when the market re-opened at 8:30am and we drifted sideways/lower throughout the session all the way to market close. The USDA made an export sale announcement this morning of 240,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown during the 2021/22 marketing year. One of yesterday's main headlines was the start of the Canadian-Pacific railway workers’ strike. After 24 hours, the issue was resolved and operations were restarted after an arbitration agreement was reached. Once again, May soybeans traded through 1700'0 and were unable to hold water above that line but did post another high close on the contract. It is starting to feel like 1700'0 old crop futures for soybeans is inevitable. News and trading headlines continue to be recycled and risk premiums compounded on the same rhetoric. Cash corn orders in the $7.20-7.25 range is a solid area to target. New crop corn in the range of $6.25-6.35 delivered and new crop beans at $15.00 off the combine are where we are looking right now. Recent rains across the Midwest have improved water levels on the Mississippi River and loaded barges are beginning to come in, allowing grain to be loaded out.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.