3/20/2023

Mar 20, 2023


After some measurable rains in Argentina over the weekend, opening calls were lower for Sunday night.  May contracts traded 9 cents lower for corn and 14 cents lower for soybeans.  November soybeans traded below the $13 handle for the first time since early August last year.  Soybeans ended mixed with gains on the front end, May traded steady 8-9 higher from mid-day into the close.  Corn struggled to follow but was able to close only 1-2 cents down on the day.  Weekly export inspections are finally beginning to pop higher for corn with 1.189 mln tonnes shipped last week.  Soybeans showed a bit of recovery after some slow weeks with 717k tonnes shipped.  A blizzard on Friday, the official start of Spring today, and the planting intentions report next week; just like that the year will already be 1/4 done with and the market will be looking to see how quick (or slow) farmers will be able to plant and it seems like the market always forgets that the American farmer plants faster every year.  Have orders working and be ready to make sales if we get a delayed planting rally!  Values near $6.45 cash corn, $5.45 new crop corn, $14.60 cash soybeans, and $13.00 new crop beans should be paid attention to!

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.