3/2/2021

Mar 02, 2021


3/2/2021
Weaker trade overnight in both corn and beans turned strongly higher in our day session on what could be best described as the buying simply outweighed the selling today.  We were able to recover a good portion of Monday's losses with corn and beans both settling in the middle of their 3-week trading ranges.  We did have a daily export sale announcement this morning of 175,000 tonnes of corn to Japan for the 2021/2022 marketing year.  This is the first daily export sale announcement since February 12 and we have no seen China as a flash buyer since January 29.  The United Kingdom announced that it will double the amount of ethanol blended in motor fuel from 5% to 10%.  This should be friendly long term for both ethanol and corn demand.  Some parts of Brazil received excessive rains overnight, with one isolated area receiving 10" of rain.  It is too early to know if the high amount of precipitation will result in any significant crop damage.  Overall, weather leans friendly for soybeans.  Argentina continues to see increased drought stress and the US drought monitor has seen little-to-no improvement over the past couple weeks.  Continue to evaluate your operation's risk and set new crop pricing goals accordingly.  In terms of market, this spring will be interesting.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.