3/19/2024

Mar 19, 2024


After corn and soybeans were lower on Monday, Tuesday's session featured some very stable trade with trading ranges of 5 cents in corn and 10 cents in soybeans. Corn finished 1-3 higher while soybeans were mixed from 2 higher to 2 lower. Weekly export inspections for corn were up nearly 3 million bushels from the previous week. Corn shipment pace now has a 34-million-bushel cushion over the USDA target and this surplus should continue to grow as corn shipments peak sometime in the next 7-10 weeks before the seasonal fall off. Soybean inspections were down from the previous week but continue to build momentum on their pace to meet the USDA export target, swinging from 2 million bushels short to a 6-million-bushel surplus. Markets have stabilized and found some good general support on some serious dry conditions in Argentina and the U.S. early spring now looking like it will be delayed to a more traditional arrival. Our next great marketing opportunity will be next week with the annual planting intentions report.

A really nice close above the 50-day moving average for December corn today. This contract has also put together a solid trend channel higher since setting our major low in February. I like HTA’s and new crop sales both anywhere in between 480-485 futures going into next week’s planting intentions report.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.