3/19/2024

Mar 19, 2024


After corn and soybeans were lower on Monday, Tuesday's session featured some very stable trade with trading ranges of 5 cents in corn and 10 cents in soybeans. Corn finished 1-3 higher while soybeans were mixed from 2 higher to 2 lower. Weekly export inspections for corn were up nearly 3 million bushels from the previous week. Corn shipment pace now has a 34-million-bushel cushion over the USDA target and this surplus should continue to grow as corn shipments peak sometime in the next 7-10 weeks before the seasonal fall off. Soybean inspections were down from the previous week but continue to build momentum on their pace to meet the USDA export target, swinging from 2 million bushels short to a 6-million-bushel surplus. Markets have stabilized and found some good general support on some serious dry conditions in Argentina and the U.S. early spring now looking like it will be delayed to a more traditional arrival. Our next great marketing opportunity will be next week with the annual planting intentions report.

A really nice close above the 50-day moving average for December corn today. This contract has also put together a solid trend channel higher since setting our major low in February. I like HTA’s and new crop sales both anywhere in between 480-485 futures going into next week’s planting intentions report.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.