3/18/2021

Mar 18, 2021


3/18/2021
Another sale announcement with China purchasing 696,600 tonnes of corn for 2020/2021, bringing the three-day total to 121 million bushels but it wasn't enough to spark buying interest from the fund and spec money.  Commodity markets all around were strongly lower today, with the stand-out being crude oil trading 7.5% lower, pushing it below $60/bbl for the first time in two weeks.  The recent precipitation in US growing regions over the past week was realized on the updated USDA drought monitor released today.  Along with some rain in Argentina, this applied some sell pressure to the grains.  It seems strange that we've had 3 big grain sales to our biggest export customer this week and the market has reacted negatively.  Net export sales for the week were above expectations for corn at 986k tonnes.  Bean sales were on target at 202k tonnes but were also evidence that Brazil is becoming the preferred source for soybeans.  Today's trade volume was some of the lightest we have seen this calendar year and, with the market friendly news, it's tough to agree that the board needed to be beaten up this bad in one day.  May beans closed the day at 1392'2, looking to test support of the 50-day moving average at 1388'2.
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.