3/15/2024

Mar 15, 2024


It looked like it was going to be an uneventful session to the end the week.  Corn was hanging around 1 higher and soybeans recovered off of their lows and were trading steady down 1-2 cents.  A buying surge in the last 20 minutes pushed corn and soybeans to go into the weekend 2-3 cents higher.  It was just enough to get May corn back above its 10-day moving average and May soybeans will start next week looking to make a push through $12.  The USDA made a corn sale announcement for the second day in a row.  Today's sale was for 125,000 tonnes for delivery to unknown during the 2023/24 marketing year.  We also had the NOPA Crush report for February.  The total of 186.194 mln bushels crushed was a record for the month of February and up 12.6% from February 2023.  This was well above the average trade guess of 178.06 mln bu.  Soyoil stocks were reported at 1.69 bln lbs, down 6.6% from a year ago but above the trade guess of 1.591 bln.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.