3/15/2023

Mar 15, 2023


3/15/2023
Corn started higher with May and July corn putting gaps on the charts at the open of overnight trade but quickly traded back to unchanged. The remainder of the session was relatively quiet. Corn stayed within a 10-cent range and 20 cents caught a large majority of the soybean action on Wednesday. Yesterday's large corn export sale announcement was followed up by another confirmation from the USDA this morning with 667,000 metric tons of corn for delivery to China during the 2022/23 marketing year. It appears China may now be looking for a break in soybean meal prices with a news headline about a surge in African Swine Fever on Chinese hog farms hitting the wire just a couple hours after. Weekly ethanol showed in increase in production of 4,000 barrels/day to 1.014 million bpd and stocks up 1.074 million barrels to 26.4 mln bbls. The grain sector traded steady today compared to outside market places. Bank failures have been the top news stories lately and Wall Street has been in herd selling mode. Crude oil traded $5/bbl lower, printing 15-month lows and the DOW was down as much as 700 points during the day.

May soybeans are trying to establish support at the 100-day moving average. Trade managed to finish the day above this support level after spending most of the morning below it.
bean-chart.png

Read More News

Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.