3/13/2024

Mar 13, 2024


Corn finishes fractionally mixed and soybeans around 1 cent mixed, as well, after both test the high and low side on Wednesday. We weren't able to follow-through on yesterday's strength in soybeans but our daily range was one of the narrowest we've seen in a while. Also, volume was very light compared to the past two weeks. The market has put together a decent rally since we bounced off a significant low on February 26 and now is the time to seriously consider getting caught up on old crop sales and getting your foot in the door with a good shot of new crop sales, as well. Weekly ethanol data showed production and stocks both off from the prior week with production decreasing by 33,000 barrels/day to 1.024 mln bpd and stocks off 300k barrels to 25.8 mln bbls.

December 24 corn: Trade has attempted to break through Dec’s 50-day moving average the past two days but has not been able to hold. There’s been a solid uptrend develop over the past two weeks but trade will need something fresh if we want to sustain this rally further. The 50-day MA is an obvious hurdle but I am also watching the 480’0 area where we traded for a few weeks in late Jan-early Feb.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.