3/12/2021

Mar 12, 2021


3/12/2021
Overnight session was strongly lower with corn and beans relentlessly testing their closest support levels.  Despite rumors of Chinese interest in US corn, we were given no confirmation of a sale and grains failed to gather any momentum to make a move higher and spent most of the day session recovering to finish mixed.  Today's action is assumed money flow taking risk off of the table as we still look for a fresh set of fundamentals to trade and give the market direction.  China has been actively buying US ethanol which could be offering some indirect support.  Argentina crop ratings continue to drop with 17% of their corn rating good to excellent and only 6% of their beans rating good to excellent.  Their crops rated in the poor to very poor category for corn and beans are both around the 30% mark.  We continue to have a better understanding of the soybean crop status in Brazil after a string of heavy rains last week.  There does not seem to be a large amount of acre or bushel loss but the focus has changed to possible quality issues in the crop.  After setting new contract highs early in the week, soybeans traded a 68-cent range and finish 17 lower compared to last week's close.  Week to week close on corn is 6 lower after trading a 25 cent range.  Looks like another unseasonably nice weekend is in store for us, enjoy!
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.