3/11/2021

Mar 11, 2021


3/11/2021
Corn and beans both choppy overnight and firmed higher in the day session as there were simply more buyers than sellers on another day that offered little news to trade.  Weekly export sales were mixed.  Soybeans and wheat were both strong, with net sales of 351k tonnes of soybeans and 330k tonnes of wheat.  Corn sales were weak at 396k tonnes, below trade estimates.  South American crop estimates continue to be mixture of bullish in Argentina and bearish in Brazil.  CONAB projected the Brazil corn crop at 108.1 million tonnes, an increase from their February estimate of 105.5 mln tonnes.  They also increased their projected Brazil soybean production estimate to 135.1 mln tonnes vs 133.8 mln tonnes in February.  The Buenos Aires Grains Exchange also released its updated projections for Argentina crops today.  Soybean production in Argentina was projected at 44 mln tonnes and corn production estimate was also lower; set at 45 mln tonnes.  Both were set at 46 mln tonnes in February.  China has been absent from the US market for quite some time now and it seems as though the market may have forgotten that.  It does feel like some business did get done today for June and July so we will be looking for a sales announcement in the near future.  An export sale of any size involving China would be enough to re-light the fire underneath this market.
 

Read More News

Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.