3/10/2023

Mar 10, 2023


3/10/2023
After dipping 3-5 cents lower just ahead of the coffee break, corn managed to keep its head above water (and the $6.00 level on the board) on Friday to end the week.  Soybeans finished 3-5 lower but firmly above their low marks on the day.  The market was ready to buy May soybeans when it briefly traded below the $15 level.  U.S. export sales netted a marketing year high for corn last week, exceeding market expectations for a total 1.412 mln tonnes.  On the opposite end of the spectrum was soybeans, which printed a marketing year low with 23k tonne net cancellation, led by Pakistan cancelling 2 cargoes.  After trading its highest levels in over 14 years in 2022, wheat continues on its path downward, spring wheat contracts are trading around 60% of their value from 10 months ago.  Also keeping the market defensive and on edge is Wall Street.  As of about 1:20pm, the DOW was down 1,500 points and the NASDAQ 500 points lower on the week.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.