3/10/2023

Mar 10, 2023


3/10/2023
After dipping 3-5 cents lower just ahead of the coffee break, corn managed to keep its head above water (and the $6.00 level on the board) on Friday to end the week.  Soybeans finished 3-5 lower but firmly above their low marks on the day.  The market was ready to buy May soybeans when it briefly traded below the $15 level.  U.S. export sales netted a marketing year high for corn last week, exceeding market expectations for a total 1.412 mln tonnes.  On the opposite end of the spectrum was soybeans, which printed a marketing year low with 23k tonne net cancellation, led by Pakistan cancelling 2 cargoes.  After trading its highest levels in over 14 years in 2022, wheat continues on its path downward, spring wheat contracts are trading around 60% of their value from 10 months ago.  Also keeping the market defensive and on edge is Wall Street.  As of about 1:20pm, the DOW was down 1,500 points and the NASDAQ 500 points lower on the week.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.