3/10/2023

Mar 10, 2023


3/10/2023
After dipping 3-5 cents lower just ahead of the coffee break, corn managed to keep its head above water (and the $6.00 level on the board) on Friday to end the week.  Soybeans finished 3-5 lower but firmly above their low marks on the day.  The market was ready to buy May soybeans when it briefly traded below the $15 level.  U.S. export sales netted a marketing year high for corn last week, exceeding market expectations for a total 1.412 mln tonnes.  On the opposite end of the spectrum was soybeans, which printed a marketing year low with 23k tonne net cancellation, led by Pakistan cancelling 2 cargoes.  After trading its highest levels in over 14 years in 2022, wheat continues on its path downward, spring wheat contracts are trading around 60% of their value from 10 months ago.  Also keeping the market defensive and on edge is Wall Street.  As of about 1:20pm, the DOW was down 1,500 points and the NASDAQ 500 points lower on the week.

outlook.png

Read More News

Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
Well, the USDA gave us an absolute shocker this morning and raised the corn yield up to 181.2 bpa vs 178.5 in September.  The average trade guess was lower at 177.7 bpa.  The carryout is now up to 1.849 billion bushels vs 1.567 in September.  They raised Exports up 25 million, Feed and residual up 50 million and Ethanol up 50 million.  Corn is currently down 28 cents on this news.  This is an absolute shocker to the corn market. 
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected.