Grain > Commentary > 3-1-2024

3/1/2024

Mar 01, 2024

Not the showing for corn the bulls were hoping for on Friday.  While soybeans enjoyed some steadily higher trade, corn was unable to test any new resistance and fell quickly into the red.  One thing positive we can take away from the market today is that May corn was able to recover and hold above its 10-day moving average.  It looks like the funds are not ready to offset a large portion of their short position.  Besides some technical trade on corn, there was not much happening for headlines today.  The February crop insurance prices were set at $4.66 for corn and $11.55 for soybeans.

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8/15/2025
Aug 15, 2025
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8/12/2025
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
5/12/2025
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.