2/8/2023

Feb 08, 2023


2/8/2023
This month's WASDE update gave trade a slightly bearish surprise for corn and soybeans.  The USDA lowered ethanol and feed/seed/residual use for corn and left exports unchanged.  Leaving exports unchanged definitely opens the door for the USDA to make cuts on this line in future reports unless some large-scale buying comes in soon.  The numbers trickle down to a small increase of 25 million bushels to our 2022/23 corn ending stocks.  The biggest surprise in today's report was the 15-million-bushel increase to soybean ending stocks for the current crop year.  The USDA lowered crush demand and left exports unchanged to take our soybean balance sheet to a net increase.  Trade had expected an increase in soy exports.

WASDE.png

Read More News

Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.