2/6/2023

Feb 06, 2023


2/6/2023
A quiet day for corn, trading a 5-7 cent range and finishing mostly 1-3 cents higher.  Soybeans were double-digits lower, reeling from a reversal lower in soybean meal and some quietly lower trade in soy oil.  The USDA made a pair of sale announcements this morning.  First were 111,800 tonnes of corn for delivery to Japan during the 2022/23 marketing year.  Second was 200,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico, split 50/50 between the 2022/23 and 2023/24 marketing years.  Weekly export inspections showed another sizeable week for soybeans coming in on the high end of expectations with 1.830 mln tonnes shipped.  Corn shipments were on the low-side with 480k tonnes shipped.  This is the second lowest corn total for this week in the past 10 years.  Soybean shipment pace is now 40 million bushels ahead of the pace needed to meet the USDA target for the year.  Corn export shipments to date are 143 million bushels behind the pace needed to meet the USDA target and the deficit has been growing over the past few weeks.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
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