2/27/2023

Feb 27, 2023


2/27/2023
Grains saw some brief trade higher during the overnight hours but quickly gave away to selling after the 8:30 re-opening. With very little fresh news available for corn and soybeans, wheat was the price leader today. This weekend saw much needed rains move across parts of the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles and Southwestern Kansas. More is needed to make those crops, yet, but the significant rainfall brought a sense of relief. With large snowfalls in the northern plains last week and a good rain in the heart of the dustbowl, the weather patterns are possibly shifting following a drought-ridden 2022. Offering no help was the weekly export inspections. With 573k tonnes shipped last week, corn shipments were within expectations but remain limited. We continue to wait for an improvement in corn volumes. Soybeans missed low with 691k tonnes inspected. This number was below average for the week and was the first bad week for soybeans we've seen in a long time but still above what is needed weekly to reach the USDA export number.

December corn has held above its significant August low. I expect some corrective buying come in over the next couple days.
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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.