2/24/2023

Feb 24, 2023


2/24/2023
Corn continued on its path lower during the Friday session, including the December 23 contract printing its lowest mark since mid-August. Soybeans attempted to sustain some higher trade throughout the session but the 7-10 cents lower trade in corn and wheat ranging between 17-25 cents down was too much. This week's price action has been mostly money driven with funds selling off length and spec money playing the short side. The faster we go down, the faster we find a bid, and this 30-cent price break in corn could be helpful in stirring up some fresh U.S. export demand. It's already rumored that China may be back in the market. The weekly sales report showed U.S. export sales were fairly vanilla last week. Corn and soybean sales totals were mid-range of their expectations with 823k tonnes of corn and 545k tonnes of soybeans sold last week. Corn export sales to date are short of the pace needed to meet the USDA target by 242 million bushels, unchanged from last week. Soybean export sales to date exceed their pace needed to meet the USDA target by 53 million bushels, down from 61 million last week.

Some very good improvement in the drought monitor since harvest.
drought-monitor.png

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Aug 21, 2025
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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.