2/24/2022

Feb 24, 2022


2/24/2022
What is there to say about today besides the obvious?  Markets opened for the overnight session unchanged but immediately soared higher following Russia's first pull of the trigger on Ukraine.  Trade was extremely peculiar with March 22 through March 23 corn trading limit higher but at different points throughout the overnight, March 22 and May 22 went into the coffee break locked limit.  Soybeans traded a huge range of $1.11 on the May 22 contract.  Beans traded 90 higher at one point throughout the night but were incredibly far off their highs going into the morning break and simply fell flat on their face in the day session, finishing 13-36 lower on the day.  We see unusually big moves on occasion during overnight trade and last night was the perfect example of why sell orders need to be part of your marketing strategy, they only fill if they are working.  Sell orders for $6 new crop corn, $17 cash beans, and $15 new crop beans filled overnight.    Wheat was the big winner of the day, posting large gains.  As of approximately 1:30 today: The DOW traded nearly 900 points lower at one point and has regained most of its losses, the NASDAQ and S&P traded largely negative this morning and have flipped positive this afternoon, crude oil is near unchanged after trading $7-8 higher overnight, gold traded nearly $60/oz higher and has fallen apart late in the day.  For sure the most intriguing day of trade in recent history.

5 minute chart for today’s corn and soybean trade.
chart.jpg

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.