2/24/2022

Feb 24, 2022


2/24/2022
What is there to say about today besides the obvious?  Markets opened for the overnight session unchanged but immediately soared higher following Russia's first pull of the trigger on Ukraine.  Trade was extremely peculiar with March 22 through March 23 corn trading limit higher but at different points throughout the overnight, March 22 and May 22 went into the coffee break locked limit.  Soybeans traded a huge range of $1.11 on the May 22 contract.  Beans traded 90 higher at one point throughout the night but were incredibly far off their highs going into the morning break and simply fell flat on their face in the day session, finishing 13-36 lower on the day.  We see unusually big moves on occasion during overnight trade and last night was the perfect example of why sell orders need to be part of your marketing strategy, they only fill if they are working.  Sell orders for $6 new crop corn, $17 cash beans, and $15 new crop beans filled overnight.    Wheat was the big winner of the day, posting large gains.  As of approximately 1:30 today: The DOW traded nearly 900 points lower at one point and has regained most of its losses, the NASDAQ and S&P traded largely negative this morning and have flipped positive this afternoon, crude oil is near unchanged after trading $7-8 higher overnight, gold traded nearly $60/oz higher and has fallen apart late in the day.  For sure the most intriguing day of trade in recent history.

5 minute chart for today’s corn and soybean trade.
chart.jpg

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.