2/23/2021

Feb 23, 2021


2/23/2021
New crop corn and beans both made new highs today, but finished off those levels by 5-10 cents.  New crop beans were the popular item today being sold.  Old crop highs got within 13 cents on corn and 5 cents on beans, but there was little farmer movement of old crop today.  There was a combination of reasons we could have been higher today, but nothing major in my opinion happened.  The new crop futures continue to work to buy acres, which we need, especially soybeans.  The old crop futures continue to try and figure out where our actually supply is at and assume we will continue to see more demand.  Bean oil was the big winner today up over $1 and inching closer to $50.  South American weather remains an issue as Brazil remains too wet and Argentina remains too dry.  I am starting to see more and more thoughts of drought in Argentina.  So, another words were trading someone else’s weather and that is always volatile. As if we don't have enough fun happening in our own markets.  Buckle in and continue to scale up on new crop sales a little bit at a time.    
 

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Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu.