2/23/2021

Feb 23, 2021


2/23/2021
New crop corn and beans both made new highs today, but finished off those levels by 5-10 cents.  New crop beans were the popular item today being sold.  Old crop highs got within 13 cents on corn and 5 cents on beans, but there was little farmer movement of old crop today.  There was a combination of reasons we could have been higher today, but nothing major in my opinion happened.  The new crop futures continue to work to buy acres, which we need, especially soybeans.  The old crop futures continue to try and figure out where our actually supply is at and assume we will continue to see more demand.  Bean oil was the big winner today up over $1 and inching closer to $50.  South American weather remains an issue as Brazil remains too wet and Argentina remains too dry.  I am starting to see more and more thoughts of drought in Argentina.  So, another words were trading someone else’s weather and that is always volatile. As if we don't have enough fun happening in our own markets.  Buckle in and continue to scale up on new crop sales a little bit at a time.    
 

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.