2/23/2021

Feb 23, 2021


2/23/2021
New crop corn and beans both made new highs today, but finished off those levels by 5-10 cents.  New crop beans were the popular item today being sold.  Old crop highs got within 13 cents on corn and 5 cents on beans, but there was little farmer movement of old crop today.  There was a combination of reasons we could have been higher today, but nothing major in my opinion happened.  The new crop futures continue to work to buy acres, which we need, especially soybeans.  The old crop futures continue to try and figure out where our actually supply is at and assume we will continue to see more demand.  Bean oil was the big winner today up over $1 and inching closer to $50.  South American weather remains an issue as Brazil remains too wet and Argentina remains too dry.  I am starting to see more and more thoughts of drought in Argentina.  So, another words were trading someone else’s weather and that is always volatile. As if we don't have enough fun happening in our own markets.  Buckle in and continue to scale up on new crop sales a little bit at a time.    
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.