2/17/2022

Feb 17, 2022


2/17/2022
Soybeans breached 1600'0 for the first time since a week ago and corn ventured into the 650's.  After a strong overnight session, the 8:30 market open saw a fair amount of profit taking and soybeans were not able to hold above 1600'0 level.  We spent a majority of the day session in two-sided trade until some strength was, again, observed over the last hour of trade and we went into the close with corn and soybeans both firmly 2-5 cents higher on the board today.  March options going into expiration tomorrow and feels like the fund and spec money is possibly playing opossum going into the weekend and 1600'0 has suddenly become an important spot on the soybean charts.  The USDA confirmed a sale at 8 a.m. this morning: 120,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown in the 2021/22 marketing year.  Weekly export net sales were mid-range of expectations for old crop corn and soybeans with 820k tonnes of corn and 1.362 mln tonnes of beans sold.  As expected, after last week's string of sales announcements, new crop soybeans had a big week with 1.526 mln tonnes sold.  The market remains on edge with the Ukraine/Russia situation continuing to develop and trade speculates on how it may possibly affect the physical corn and soybean trade.
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.