2/17/2022

Feb 17, 2022


2/17/2022
Soybeans breached 1600'0 for the first time since a week ago and corn ventured into the 650's.  After a strong overnight session, the 8:30 market open saw a fair amount of profit taking and soybeans were not able to hold above 1600'0 level.  We spent a majority of the day session in two-sided trade until some strength was, again, observed over the last hour of trade and we went into the close with corn and soybeans both firmly 2-5 cents higher on the board today.  March options going into expiration tomorrow and feels like the fund and spec money is possibly playing opossum going into the weekend and 1600'0 has suddenly become an important spot on the soybean charts.  The USDA confirmed a sale at 8 a.m. this morning: 120,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown in the 2021/22 marketing year.  Weekly export net sales were mid-range of expectations for old crop corn and soybeans with 820k tonnes of corn and 1.362 mln tonnes of beans sold.  As expected, after last week's string of sales announcements, new crop soybeans had a big week with 1.526 mln tonnes sold.  The market remains on edge with the Ukraine/Russia situation continuing to develop and trade speculates on how it may possibly affect the physical corn and soybean trade.
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.