2/16/2023

Feb 16, 2023


2/16/2023
Thursday's trade was featureless and, overall, extremely quiet for corn and soybeans.  Ranges were relatively tight and we spenting most of the day bouncing back and forth between 1-2 cents higher or lower throughout the session.  Following yesterday morning's announcement, the USDA confirmed another export sale this morning.  This sale was for 128,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown for the 2022/23 marketing year.  Weekly export sales were decent for corn, coming in at the towards the upper end of estimates at 1.025 mln tonnes sold last week.  Soybean sales were okay at 513k tonnes but most of these old crop sales were previous sales being switched from unknown to China as the destination.  The markets have been in some very quiet trade range since the USDA published their final production numbers back in January.  Also, there's been some issues over that same timeframe with the CFTC reporting the estimated fund positions.  The day-to-day, week-to-week price action has not been reflective of how little the estimated positions have changed.  This has contributed to the market struggling to find direction.

drought-monitor.png

Read More News

Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.