2/16/2023

Feb 16, 2023


2/16/2023
Thursday's trade was featureless and, overall, extremely quiet for corn and soybeans.  Ranges were relatively tight and we spenting most of the day bouncing back and forth between 1-2 cents higher or lower throughout the session.  Following yesterday morning's announcement, the USDA confirmed another export sale this morning.  This sale was for 128,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown for the 2022/23 marketing year.  Weekly export sales were decent for corn, coming in at the towards the upper end of estimates at 1.025 mln tonnes sold last week.  Soybean sales were okay at 513k tonnes but most of these old crop sales were previous sales being switched from unknown to China as the destination.  The markets have been in some very quiet trade range since the USDA published their final production numbers back in January.  Also, there's been some issues over that same timeframe with the CFTC reporting the estimated fund positions.  The day-to-day, week-to-week price action has not been reflective of how little the estimated positions have changed.  This has contributed to the market struggling to find direction.

drought-monitor.png

Read More News

Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report.