2/14/2023

Feb 14, 2023


2/14/2023
Corn and soybeans appeared to be building strength for a move higher and extending the current ranges during the overnight session but trade was ready to sell at what would be considered the top-end of our price levels for 2023 (so far). Late yesterday, it was announced that Mexico would scrap a deadline to ban genetically modified corn for animal feed and industrial use but retained plans to prohibit use of the grain for human consumption. This removes a January 2024 deadline. When this was first announced by Mexico, the U.S. trade did not take it seriously and continued to call Mexico's bluff. Mexico is the single largest importer of U.S. corn. The ban would have hurt U.S. corn demand but Mexico really had no other reasonable options to source corn from. I'm sure this is the only example in history where something put on paper by a government body didn't make sense. As fast as the export sale announcements from the USDA were turning into part of our daily routine, they have gone silent just as quickly.

After trading their highest marks since early June yesterday, soybean charts are putting together a potential triple top. There is a similar look on the corn charts, as well.
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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.