2/14/2023

Feb 14, 2023


2/14/2023
Corn and soybeans appeared to be building strength for a move higher and extending the current ranges during the overnight session but trade was ready to sell at what would be considered the top-end of our price levels for 2023 (so far). Late yesterday, it was announced that Mexico would scrap a deadline to ban genetically modified corn for animal feed and industrial use but retained plans to prohibit use of the grain for human consumption. This removes a January 2024 deadline. When this was first announced by Mexico, the U.S. trade did not take it seriously and continued to call Mexico's bluff. Mexico is the single largest importer of U.S. corn. The ban would have hurt U.S. corn demand but Mexico really had no other reasonable options to source corn from. I'm sure this is the only example in history where something put on paper by a government body didn't make sense. As fast as the export sale announcements from the USDA were turning into part of our daily routine, they have gone silent just as quickly.

After trading their highest marks since early June yesterday, soybean charts are putting together a potential triple top. There is a similar look on the corn charts, as well.
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.