Grain > Commentary > 2-1-2024

2/1/2024

Feb 01, 2024

After two days of higher trade that looked like the start of a rally, the market could not get off the ground on Thursday.  Corn managed to stay above the prior day's low, finishing just 1 lower after gaining a nickel the previous session.  Soybeans were sharply lower, closing 13-19 cents lower and it appears that the March contract will, once again, look to test what support there is at the $12 level.  We did have the USDA confirm a sale at 8 a.m. this morning and it was for 206,834 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Mexico during the 2023/24 marketing year.  In the weekly export sales report, corn came in near the high end of expectations with 1.207 mln tonnes sold last week.  The PNW market has been active the past two weeks so it would not be a surprise to see another solid number for corn on this report next week.  Soybean sales were a marketing year low with only 165k tonnes sold.  A bright spot on the report were sales for soybean meal which totaled 494k tonnes.  This was the second highest weekly total in over a year.  This also comes following 2-year lows in soybean meal futures.

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9/11/2026
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
7/10/2026
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
6/11/2026
Jun 11, 2026
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