2/12/2021

Feb 12, 2021


2/12/2021
Glacial Plains will not be purchasing grain on Monday, February 15, 2021. The markets are closed in observance of President's Day. We will gladly take a sell order to work on your behalf for the 7 p.m. market open on Monday night.
Corn and bean trade was higher overnight on lighter volume. Most of those gains were given up shortly after the 8:30 opening, with corn trading close to a nickel lower and spending most of the day fighting its way back. We did have a small string of daily export sales for corn totaling 9.9 million bushels announced this morning; 135,644K tonnes to Costa Rica for 2020/21, 59,964 tonnes to Costa Rica for 2021/22, and 115,577 tonnes to Guatemala. In terms of news to move the market, today didn't offer anything we did not already know. To review of the week, marketing year-to-date corn export sales at 87% of the total USDA forecast are supportive but we still have a lot of corn to ship. Argentine corn is currently a 20 cent/bu discount to US, if that discount improves, cancellations of unshipped corn wouldn't be a surprise. South American soybean production forecasts see small, steady increases after their recent precipitation. Peeking at the calendar, our next report to trade will be the NOPA bean crush report, due out next Tuesday. Stay warm this weekend, Spring is just around the corner.

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Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report.