2/10/2023

Feb 10, 2023


2/10/2023
Grains had a nice rally today following several key headlines.  Weather outlooks in South America that lowered next week’s rainfall expectations. Coverage is only expected to be 50% as well. News that Russia claims it will cut oil production by 500,000 barrels per day was also supportive. Heightened fighting between Russia and Ukraine was also positive for futures, mainly wheat.  The grain markets seemed to follow wheat higher right out of the 8:30 open.  We have heard these stories many times this year, so I will waive the caution flag to be careful.  We are approaching the upper level of the trading range, so it would not hurt to reward the market a little.  If you don't want to sell here maybe put some orders in for Sunday night. 6.70 cash corn and 15.00 cash beans remain a good target.  Have a good Super Bowl Weekend!!   

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.