12/9/2022

Dec 09, 2022


12/9/2022
The WASDE report came and went with the excitement that is typical for this report in the final month of the year.  The USDA cut the corn export forecast by 75 million bushels but left the remainder of the balance sheet unchanged.  There will probably be demand sectors revised lower further down the road.  March corn traded its high mark for the week when the report was released before falling back to 1-2 higher trade.  The corn board finished the week in mixed fashion.  The USDA made no changes to the soybean balance sheet.  This week's rally has shaken loose quite a few bushels of beans out of delayed-pricing and out of bins off of the farm.  I think our growers did a great job this week getting soybeans priced at the top side of our 6-month trading range.  We are still near the top end of that range so if you have not priced any beans in at these levels, look hard into it here.  If trade can continue to push soybeans higher, we have hard resistance at $15.00 before we can target our upside gaps on the charts.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.