12/9/2022

Dec 09, 2022


12/9/2022
The WASDE report came and went with the excitement that is typical for this report in the final month of the year.  The USDA cut the corn export forecast by 75 million bushels but left the remainder of the balance sheet unchanged.  There will probably be demand sectors revised lower further down the road.  March corn traded its high mark for the week when the report was released before falling back to 1-2 higher trade.  The corn board finished the week in mixed fashion.  The USDA made no changes to the soybean balance sheet.  This week's rally has shaken loose quite a few bushels of beans out of delayed-pricing and out of bins off of the farm.  I think our growers did a great job this week getting soybeans priced at the top side of our 6-month trading range.  We are still near the top end of that range so if you have not priced any beans in at these levels, look hard into it here.  If trade can continue to push soybeans higher, we have hard resistance at $15.00 before we can target our upside gaps on the charts.

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Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report.