12/9/2020

Dec 09, 2020


12/9/2020
A solid rebound in the corn and soybean trade overnight carried over into the day session.  The renewed buying interest was sparked by expectations that the USDA will slimly cut the global carryover of the large grains.  The sharper gains on the soybean board were also assisted by rumors that some South American soybean exports were washed out.  We had a sale announcement this morning of 257,071 tonnes (10.1 mln bu) of corn to Mexico.  Mexico has been a fairly steady buyer of corn as of late and it still remains to be seen when China will re-enter the market with a purchase on either the corn or soybean side.  While most of the attention in our area has been focused solely on old crop marketing, Brazilian farmers have been busy selling soybeans for the 2021 and 2022 crops.  It is currently estimated that 15% of the 2022 Brazilian soybean crop is already priced.  I know an inverse market isn't the most attractive to sell into but, assuming we continue to follow the global trend of adding production area and increased yields, the current new crop prices for 2021 need a serious comparison to an operation's bottom line.  Reminder, the December WASDE report is due out tomorrow at 11 a.m.

Read More News

Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.