12/9/2020

Dec 09, 2020


12/9/2020
A solid rebound in the corn and soybean trade overnight carried over into the day session.  The renewed buying interest was sparked by expectations that the USDA will slimly cut the global carryover of the large grains.  The sharper gains on the soybean board were also assisted by rumors that some South American soybean exports were washed out.  We had a sale announcement this morning of 257,071 tonnes (10.1 mln bu) of corn to Mexico.  Mexico has been a fairly steady buyer of corn as of late and it still remains to be seen when China will re-enter the market with a purchase on either the corn or soybean side.  While most of the attention in our area has been focused solely on old crop marketing, Brazilian farmers have been busy selling soybeans for the 2021 and 2022 crops.  It is currently estimated that 15% of the 2022 Brazilian soybean crop is already priced.  I know an inverse market isn't the most attractive to sell into but, assuming we continue to follow the global trend of adding production area and increased yields, the current new crop prices for 2021 need a serious comparison to an operation's bottom line.  Reminder, the December WASDE report is due out tomorrow at 11 a.m.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.