12/8/2023

Dec 08, 2023


Friday looked like corn and soybeans were going to continue on their recovery path heading into the weekend. We started our day with another set of sale announcements from the USDA. These sales included 136,000 tonnes of soybeans to China, 110,000 tonnes of soft red wheat to China, and 165,000 tonnes of corn to unknown all for delivery in the 2023/24 marketing year. Corn was trading 3-4 higher and soybeans near 15 higher going into our monthly WASDE report. With the funds current positions, trade had no problem picking up some fresh length ahead of the report. The report offered little-to-no fresh fundamentals to trade and the new money sold-off during the remaining 2 hours of the session. Corn closed with losses of 1-3 cents and soybeans gave up 4-7 cents on the day.

A slight increase to the corn export forecast and no changes on the soybean balance sheet.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.