12/8/2023

Dec 08, 2023


Friday looked like corn and soybeans were going to continue on their recovery path heading into the weekend. We started our day with another set of sale announcements from the USDA. These sales included 136,000 tonnes of soybeans to China, 110,000 tonnes of soft red wheat to China, and 165,000 tonnes of corn to unknown all for delivery in the 2023/24 marketing year. Corn was trading 3-4 higher and soybeans near 15 higher going into our monthly WASDE report. With the funds current positions, trade had no problem picking up some fresh length ahead of the report. The report offered little-to-no fresh fundamentals to trade and the new money sold-off during the remaining 2 hours of the session. Corn closed with losses of 1-3 cents and soybeans gave up 4-7 cents on the day.

A slight increase to the corn export forecast and no changes on the soybean balance sheet.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.