12/7/2022

Dec 07, 2022


12/7/2022
Soybeans opened higher to begin the overnight and never looked back, once again, making a strong run to levels near our fresh 60-day highs set last week.  The two-week sell-off in wheat appeared to turn the tide today with Chicago and KC wheat posting 18-20 cent gains on the day and Minneapolis wheat improving 5 cents.  Corn benefited mostly from the outside strength in beans and wheat but was also helped out by the weekly ethanol report showing higher than expected production and stocks.  Production was up 59,000 barrels/day to 1.08 million bpd.  Stocks increased 323,000 barrels to 23.26 million bbls.  There was a potential key reversal higher on the corn charts this morning but trade was not able to hold.  Corn still finishes the day 3-4 cents higher in firm fashion.  With a couple notable reports still due out this week, cash beans in the high $14's is a possibility.  The $14 level on November 2023 soybean futures has developed into an area of stiff resistance and is not a bad place to start marketing next year's crop.  Trade can move quickly on report days so have sell orders working!

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.