12/7/2022

Dec 07, 2022


12/7/2022
Soybeans opened higher to begin the overnight and never looked back, once again, making a strong run to levels near our fresh 60-day highs set last week.  The two-week sell-off in wheat appeared to turn the tide today with Chicago and KC wheat posting 18-20 cent gains on the day and Minneapolis wheat improving 5 cents.  Corn benefited mostly from the outside strength in beans and wheat but was also helped out by the weekly ethanol report showing higher than expected production and stocks.  Production was up 59,000 barrels/day to 1.08 million bpd.  Stocks increased 323,000 barrels to 23.26 million bbls.  There was a potential key reversal higher on the corn charts this morning but trade was not able to hold.  Corn still finishes the day 3-4 cents higher in firm fashion.  With a couple notable reports still due out this week, cash beans in the high $14's is a possibility.  The $14 level on November 2023 soybean futures has developed into an area of stiff resistance and is not a bad place to start marketing next year's crop.  Trade can move quickly on report days so have sell orders working!

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.