12/6/2023

Dec 06, 2023


Corn and soybeans both take a hit after showing some early session strength. After trading 3 higher in corn and 8-9 cents higher in soybeans, the market quickly retreated. Corn ends the day down 6 and soybeans down 9-14. Weekly ethanol data showed an increase in production of 65,000 barrels/day to a total of 1.076 mln bpd. Ethanol stocks were unchanged from the previous week at 21.4 mln barrels. The USDA made two export sale announcements this morning, both for delivery to China during the 2023/24 marketing year. The sales included: 372,000 tonnes of soft red winter wheat and 136,000 tonnes of soybeans.

Corn appeared set to challenge the upper-end of its trading range this morning but was quickly beaten back. The 50-day moving average maintains itself as the nearest point of resistance. Resistance at this point was last tested back on 11/15 with the same result.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.