12/6/2023

Dec 06, 2023


Corn and soybeans both take a hit after showing some early session strength. After trading 3 higher in corn and 8-9 cents higher in soybeans, the market quickly retreated. Corn ends the day down 6 and soybeans down 9-14. Weekly ethanol data showed an increase in production of 65,000 barrels/day to a total of 1.076 mln bpd. Ethanol stocks were unchanged from the previous week at 21.4 mln barrels. The USDA made two export sale announcements this morning, both for delivery to China during the 2023/24 marketing year. The sales included: 372,000 tonnes of soft red winter wheat and 136,000 tonnes of soybeans.

Corn appeared set to challenge the upper-end of its trading range this morning but was quickly beaten back. The 50-day moving average maintains itself as the nearest point of resistance. Resistance at this point was last tested back on 11/15 with the same result.

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Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time.