12/30/2022

Dec 30, 2022


12/30/2022
Soybeans appeared to be making another strong move overnight, with some euphoric buying coming in shortly at the coffee break. Holiday trade has made it seemingly easy for soybeans to trade within reach of contract highs and the bull is focused solely on Argentine weather and ignoring a huge soybean crop in Brazil. Spillover support from soybeans and moving average support tried to push March corn out of its wedge pattern to the high side early in the session but had fallen back to unchanged by mid-day. Corn and soybeans continued to fade into the close. The USDA confirmed the sale of 186,000 tonnes of soybeans to unknown for delivery during the 2022/23 marketing year. Market upside feels extremely limited if we sustain these price levels into our final production numbers on January 12. Cash basis continues to be defensive following another day of strong board trade. Reminder: Glacial Plains will be closed on Monday, January 2, 2023. We would like to thank all of our customers and patrons for a wonderful 2022 and we look forward to the opportunity to provide our services to you in 2023.

March corn narrowly escaped an outside reversal lower to end the year. We traded through some long-term overhead resistance but could not hold. We closed below trend-line resistance and just above the 200-day moving average. We are setting up for a breakout shortly after we turn the calendar to 2023.
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.