12/3/2021

Dec 03, 2021


12/3/2021
Corn and soybeans go into the weekend higher with a flood of speculator money coming in to buy.  Fundamentals have not changed much, if it all, but the USDA did put together a nice string of soybean export sales announcements this week including another 122,000 tonnes for delivery to unknown during the 2021/22 marketing year confirmed this morning.  Export sales and inspections for soybeans are currently ahead of the pace needed to hit the USDA target but the situation could change quickly with the Brazil harvest and export season likely to get an early start.  There is some chatter about isolated dryness in South America but conditions have been almost perfect so far with farmers in Brazil's largest soy producing state Mato Grosso expecting a record crop.  If we learned anything this year, "dryness" should probably not be a bullish positioning point.  Corn played follow-the-leader today behind soybeans and we are looking for a wakeup call on the PNW market for corn like we saw in soybeans this week.  Cash closes for the week:  cash corn down 5 cents, cash soybeans up 14.  New crop closes: corn down 10 cents and soybeans down 6.  The lottery/casino action in wheat and oats continued today with all posting double digit losses, taking back most of the prior day's gains.

Read More News

Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.