12/29/2022

Dec 29, 2022


12/29/2022
Wheat was sharply lower, keeping corn and soybeans in check today. Corn spent the session in lower trade and soybeans finished 1-3 cents better after trading 7-10 higher overnight. We now have one trading day remaining in 2022 and tomorrow could very well be unexciting with most in the market probably taking an early weekend. Grains have put together a nice rally over the last week and a half but we are now pushed up against some long-term resistance areas and some drifting lower is expected to start the new calendar year ahead of our final 2022/23 production numbers from the USDA on January 12. This rally has also caused cash basis to slip by 10-15 cents in corn and soybeans, further confirmation that this move in the market is about money positioning and technicals. The weekly ethanol report was a little more negative than anticipated. Production fell by 66,000 barrels/day to 963,000 bpd and stocks increased by 569,000 barrels to 24.64 million barrels. The markets will trade a full day tomorrow and then will remain closed until 8:30 am on January 3rd. Glacial Plains will be closed on January 2nd for New Year's.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.