12/23/2021

Dec 23, 2021


12/23/2021
Corn firmed above 600'0 and soybeans made some modest gains heading into an extended holiday weekend.  The extended forecast for South America remains unchanged and the funds were ready to buy going into the long weekend.  Trade will be watching the weather and the forecast closely over the next 3 days, looking to gain an edge for the Sunday night open.  Overall, fundamentals remain mostly unchanged.  The USDA did not have any 8am export sales announcements for this week.  The one piece of information we had to chew on today was our weekly net export sales report.  Corn and soybean sales were down from last week and in the bottom half of expectations.  Corn sales were seen at 982k tonnes and soybeans sales at 811k tonnes.  Markets will remain closed until 7 pm Sunday night.  Glacial Plains will be closed tomorrow for Christmas Eve.  All of us here wish you and your family a Merry Christmas.

Trade was pretty subdued from around 10:00am to 1:00pm today.  Volume picked up shortly after 1:00pm and we set the highs for the day going into the close.  Almost identical action in soybeans.
corn-chart.jpg
We completed a 50% retracement to the contract high on January soybeans yesterday and we closed above that level today.  Good technical indicator for anyone bullish.
beans.jpg

Read More News

Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time.