12/23/2021

Dec 23, 2021


12/23/2021
Corn firmed above 600'0 and soybeans made some modest gains heading into an extended holiday weekend.  The extended forecast for South America remains unchanged and the funds were ready to buy going into the long weekend.  Trade will be watching the weather and the forecast closely over the next 3 days, looking to gain an edge for the Sunday night open.  Overall, fundamentals remain mostly unchanged.  The USDA did not have any 8am export sales announcements for this week.  The one piece of information we had to chew on today was our weekly net export sales report.  Corn and soybean sales were down from last week and in the bottom half of expectations.  Corn sales were seen at 982k tonnes and soybeans sales at 811k tonnes.  Markets will remain closed until 7 pm Sunday night.  Glacial Plains will be closed tomorrow for Christmas Eve.  All of us here wish you and your family a Merry Christmas.

Trade was pretty subdued from around 10:00am to 1:00pm today.  Volume picked up shortly after 1:00pm and we set the highs for the day going into the close.  Almost identical action in soybeans.
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We completed a 50% retracement to the contract high on January soybeans yesterday and we closed above that level today.  Good technical indicator for anyone bullish.
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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.