12/23/2020

Dec 23, 2020


12/23/2020
Reminder that GPC is closed both Thursday and Friday for Christmas.  There are markets until noon tomorrow, so if you would like to have an order working please call us by 4:30 today.  Beans continued the rally today as we once again put in new highs for the move.  Beans seem destined for the teens as the money continues to show up to buy beans and the path of least resistance is up.  Heard a rumor today of 3 cargoes of beans to China, but have not seen a confirmation.  Bean bids have not changed to the PNW that I have heard of.  Spreads did firm back up as we near even money again thru May, so it makes sense a sale could have took place.  We are in rationing mode on beans and if we are still selling beans at current levels, we have more work to do.  It's pretty much that simple at the moment.  South American weather is about the one thing that can slow us down, but right now that remains friendly as well.  Corn remains along for the ride as we put in a new high there as well today nearly touching 4.50 March futures.  There is more corn moving than beans, but selling has slowed as everyone remains bullish.  Just a word of caution that this is a bean story more so than corn, so some sales here are a good idea.  Both old and new.  Have a Merry Christmas!!! 
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.