12/23/2020

Dec 23, 2020


12/23/2020
Reminder that GPC is closed both Thursday and Friday for Christmas.  There are markets until noon tomorrow, so if you would like to have an order working please call us by 4:30 today.  Beans continued the rally today as we once again put in new highs for the move.  Beans seem destined for the teens as the money continues to show up to buy beans and the path of least resistance is up.  Heard a rumor today of 3 cargoes of beans to China, but have not seen a confirmation.  Bean bids have not changed to the PNW that I have heard of.  Spreads did firm back up as we near even money again thru May, so it makes sense a sale could have took place.  We are in rationing mode on beans and if we are still selling beans at current levels, we have more work to do.  It's pretty much that simple at the moment.  South American weather is about the one thing that can slow us down, but right now that remains friendly as well.  Corn remains along for the ride as we put in a new high there as well today nearly touching 4.50 March futures.  There is more corn moving than beans, but selling has slowed as everyone remains bullish.  Just a word of caution that this is a bean story more so than corn, so some sales here are a good idea.  Both old and new.  Have a Merry Christmas!!! 
 

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May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.