12/23/2020

Dec 23, 2020


12/23/2020
Reminder that GPC is closed both Thursday and Friday for Christmas.  There are markets until noon tomorrow, so if you would like to have an order working please call us by 4:30 today.  Beans continued the rally today as we once again put in new highs for the move.  Beans seem destined for the teens as the money continues to show up to buy beans and the path of least resistance is up.  Heard a rumor today of 3 cargoes of beans to China, but have not seen a confirmation.  Bean bids have not changed to the PNW that I have heard of.  Spreads did firm back up as we near even money again thru May, so it makes sense a sale could have took place.  We are in rationing mode on beans and if we are still selling beans at current levels, we have more work to do.  It's pretty much that simple at the moment.  South American weather is about the one thing that can slow us down, but right now that remains friendly as well.  Corn remains along for the ride as we put in a new high there as well today nearly touching 4.50 March futures.  There is more corn moving than beans, but selling has slowed as everyone remains bullish.  Just a word of caution that this is a bean story more so than corn, so some sales here are a good idea.  Both old and new.  Have a Merry Christmas!!! 
 

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Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report.