12/20/2022

Dec 20, 2022


12/20/2022
Corn and soybeans spent Tuesday reclaiming Monday's losses. Soybeans traded steady around 5 higher and held its gains going into the coffee break where a flood of buying came in at the 8:30 open. Corn was a follower. There were no official reports or sale announcements, so a very quiet day that really had no big stories, just light volume trading technical signs to a firmly higher finish. Circling back to yesterday's better-than-expected weekly export inspections report, corn shipments to date fall short of the pace needed to hit the USDA target by 186 million bushels versus 171 million bushels the previous week. Soybean inspection pace continues to slowly close the deficit to the USDA target, now short by 33 million bushels.

Corn and soybeans continue to coil/tighten within range. The tighter this pattern becomes, the bigger the breakout will be. We hit the top side of our wedge today in soybeans and trade will likely look at profit taking off of fresh length tomorrow.
bean-chart.png

Read More News

Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report.