12/20/2022

Dec 20, 2022


12/20/2022
Corn and soybeans spent Tuesday reclaiming Monday's losses. Soybeans traded steady around 5 higher and held its gains going into the coffee break where a flood of buying came in at the 8:30 open. Corn was a follower. There were no official reports or sale announcements, so a very quiet day that really had no big stories, just light volume trading technical signs to a firmly higher finish. Circling back to yesterday's better-than-expected weekly export inspections report, corn shipments to date fall short of the pace needed to hit the USDA target by 186 million bushels versus 171 million bushels the previous week. Soybean inspection pace continues to slowly close the deficit to the USDA target, now short by 33 million bushels.

Corn and soybeans continue to coil/tighten within range. The tighter this pattern becomes, the bigger the breakout will be. We hit the top side of our wedge today in soybeans and trade will likely look at profit taking off of fresh length tomorrow.
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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.