Grain > Commentary > 12-2-2020

12/2/2020

Dec 02, 2020

12/2/2020
The overnight markets were ugly with corn down 5 and beans down 17-20.  It looked like it was going to be the day we test 11.38 Jan futures, but we didn't quite get it done as we got within a nickel.  Corn led the charge back around 9:30 am on news that China was buying April corn and wheat.  I had a couple sources tell me that business got done and took a few phone calls looking for April corn, so it must of happened.  Corn finished up 3 nearly a dime off the days lows.  Beans finished down 9 cents as there is rain on the radar in Brazil.  More rains are forecasted in central Brazil and the markets will be paying attention to amounts over the next week.  The US Dollar continues to trade lower and has now tested 30-month lows and will likely continue lower as we approach 91.  That should continue to entice more export business out of the US.                     

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2/10/2026
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
1/12/2026
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
11/14/2025
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.