12/19/2023

Dec 19, 2023


Soybeans and corn both lower as we lack anything fresh and old news once again churns through the market.  The soybean market continues to discount the poor weather and conditions in Brazil as the overall production estimates still remain well above last year's production.  Corn continues in a narrow, range bound pattern, burdened by a large U.S. carryout and stocks-to-use ratio.  Crop scouts and agencies have stubbornly left corn production estimates for South America unchanged for the most part.  With less than 2 weeks remaining in the calendar year, it feels like trade has shut it down until we enter 2025 unless some type of market surprise happens.  The USDA did confirm another soybean sale this morning.  The announcement was for 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to unknown for delivery in the 2023/24 marketing year.

Reminder: Glacial Plains will be closed on Monday, December 25 for Christmas.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.