12/19/2023

Dec 19, 2023


Soybeans and corn both lower as we lack anything fresh and old news once again churns through the market.  The soybean market continues to discount the poor weather and conditions in Brazil as the overall production estimates still remain well above last year's production.  Corn continues in a narrow, range bound pattern, burdened by a large U.S. carryout and stocks-to-use ratio.  Crop scouts and agencies have stubbornly left corn production estimates for South America unchanged for the most part.  With less than 2 weeks remaining in the calendar year, it feels like trade has shut it down until we enter 2025 unless some type of market surprise happens.  The USDA did confirm another soybean sale this morning.  The announcement was for 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to unknown for delivery in the 2023/24 marketing year.

Reminder: Glacial Plains will be closed on Monday, December 25 for Christmas.

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May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.
Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.