12/19/2022

Dec 19, 2022


12/19/2022
Corn and soybeans opened and traded lower through the entire session to start two weeks of holiday trade. Volume is expected to be thin and any moves made could be exaggerated with less hands in the market. Even though we started the week with a firm move lower, it’s a good idea to have some "crazy" sell orders working over the next two weeks. The weekly export sales report came in with the second biggest week of net sales for U.S. soybeans so far in 2022/23 with 2.948 million tonnes. This was well above the 2.0 mln tonne high estimate. Corn came in just above estimates at 950k tonnes. Corn exports have some making up to do after we turn the calendar to 2023 but that is when the U.S. corn export program is typically strong. The past two marketing years have been outliers in terms of corn sale volumes on the books ahead of the shipping season. Get ready for some extreme cold at the end of this week in our area. The markets will trade a full session on Friday and will remain closed until 8:30am next Tuesday, Dec 27. Glacial Plains will be closed December 26.

Wind chill forecasts for Thursday night.
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Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time.