12/19/2022

Dec 19, 2022


12/19/2022
Corn and soybeans opened and traded lower through the entire session to start two weeks of holiday trade. Volume is expected to be thin and any moves made could be exaggerated with less hands in the market. Even though we started the week with a firm move lower, it’s a good idea to have some "crazy" sell orders working over the next two weeks. The weekly export sales report came in with the second biggest week of net sales for U.S. soybeans so far in 2022/23 with 2.948 million tonnes. This was well above the 2.0 mln tonne high estimate. Corn came in just above estimates at 950k tonnes. Corn exports have some making up to do after we turn the calendar to 2023 but that is when the U.S. corn export program is typically strong. The past two marketing years have been outliers in terms of corn sale volumes on the books ahead of the shipping season. Get ready for some extreme cold at the end of this week in our area. The markets will trade a full session on Friday and will remain closed until 8:30am next Tuesday, Dec 27. Glacial Plains will be closed December 26.

Wind chill forecasts for Thursday night.
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Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.