12/19/2022

Dec 19, 2022


12/19/2022
Corn and soybeans opened and traded lower through the entire session to start two weeks of holiday trade. Volume is expected to be thin and any moves made could be exaggerated with less hands in the market. Even though we started the week with a firm move lower, it’s a good idea to have some "crazy" sell orders working over the next two weeks. The weekly export sales report came in with the second biggest week of net sales for U.S. soybeans so far in 2022/23 with 2.948 million tonnes. This was well above the 2.0 mln tonne high estimate. Corn came in just above estimates at 950k tonnes. Corn exports have some making up to do after we turn the calendar to 2023 but that is when the U.S. corn export program is typically strong. The past two marketing years have been outliers in terms of corn sale volumes on the books ahead of the shipping season. Get ready for some extreme cold at the end of this week in our area. The markets will trade a full session on Friday and will remain closed until 8:30am next Tuesday, Dec 27. Glacial Plains will be closed December 26.

Wind chill forecasts for Thursday night.
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May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.
Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.