12/14/2022

Dec 14, 2022


12/14/2022
Corn ends the day lower on the front months and higher starting at the December 2023 contract and further out.  Soybeans settled mostly unchanged to 3 cents higher, with just a few months closing fractional to 1 lower.  With some solid export sale announcements and shipment pace over the past couple weeks, soybeans have found a bid near the top end of our 6-month trading range but have yet to mount a charge towards the $15 handle.  Corn was softer early session but spec buying showed up shortly after the morning break.  Overall, a very bland day of featureless trade.  With a lack of market moving headlines or changes in fundamentals, trade is focused on technicals.  Weekly ethanol showed output down 16,000 barrels/day to 1.06 mln bpd and stocks increasing 1.15 mln barrels to 24.41 mln bbls.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.