12/14/2021

Dec 14, 2021


12/14/2021
Corn and soybeans come back strong off of their overnight lows for a textbook "turnaround Tuesday."  Today's bounce back puts us basically unchanged on the week after 2 days of trade.  Fundamentally, there hasn’t been any changes or news.  The USDA 8 a.m. sales announcements have gone quiet after putting together a good run for the first half of December.  China is hosting the winter Olympics in two months and it may be a while until we see them purchase to ramp up any type of imports.  Portions of Chinese industry are cut back/shut down (ex: bean processors), need the country to look good on T.V.  Overall, there is not much of an explanation for the price action we've seen this week.  Figures for the November NOPA crush will be released tomorrow, with trade estimates ranging from 178-184 million bushels crushed for an average of 181.64 million.  This will at least give us some sort of information for trade to chew on.

Trade is trying to create excitement out of some short-term dryness in Brazil, likely from a lack of any other news.brazil.jpg

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.